Funds & ETFs9 min read

MSTR vs IBIT: Is Strategy Stock a Better Way to Own Bitcoin?

Strategy's stock is the loud way to own bitcoin. IBIT is the quiet one. We put $10,000 in each on IBIT's first day, then checked what happened on every other day you could have bought.

By Pavel Penev, MScFounder, TradeWize · 10+ years trading the markets

There are two easy ways to own bitcoin in a normal brokerage account. You can buy IBIT, iShares' bitcoin ETF, which holds bitcoin and nothing else. Or you can buy MSTR, the shares of Strategy Inc (formerly MicroStrategy), a company that has spent the last six years buying bitcoin with borrowed and raised money.

They're not the same thing. So we put $10,000 in each at the close on 11 January 2024, IBIT's first day of trading, and checked the result at the close on 26 October 2026. Then we did the same for every other day you could have bought.

The short answer

MSTR won the race from day one: $10,000 became $26,077, against $16,981 in IBIT. But almost all of that came in its first ten months. If you bought MSTR on any day from 6 March 2024 to 30 December 2025, you're behind IBIT today. Only 107 of the 699 possible buy days left MSTR ahead. On the way, MSTR fell 82.6% from its high. IBIT's worst fall was 53.3%.

What this article is, and isn't

This compares past returns and the published facts behind each one. It isn't advice to buy either, or to buy bitcoin at all. TradeWize isn't a broker or an adviser and earns nothing from Strategy or iShares. Every figure is linked to its source at the end.

MSTR vs IBIT at a glance

MSTR vs IBIT
MSTRIBIT
What it isA company's sharesAn ETF that holds bitcoin
What you ownA slice of a company with bitcoin, debt and preferred stockA slice of a pile of bitcoin
Yearly feeNone as such, but see the dividends below0.25%
Bitcoin behind one share0.00188 BTC, $149.33Fixed, minus the fee
Price vs its bitcoin0.93x on the last day-0.03% on 23 October 2026
Typical yearly swing90.8%48.6%
Worst fall from a high-82.6%-53.3%
$10,000 became$26,077$16,981

Our test runs from the 11 January 2024 close to 26 October 2026, split-adjusted. "Typical yearly swing" is the annualised volatility of daily returns. Strategy's figures are from its dashboard and ledger on 27 October 2026. IBIT's are from the iShares page.

What $10,000 became in each

$26,077
in MSTR, +160.8%
$16,981
in IBIT, +69.8%
$88,371
MSTR at its high, 20 November 2024

MSTR finished $9,096 ahead. That's the headline most people quote. The path matters more than the end point, though.

What $10,000 in each was worth, week by week
WHAT $10,000 WAS WORTH, WEEK BY WEEKPut into MSTR or IBIT at the close on 2024-01-11, IBIT's first day.$0$20k$40k$60k$80k202420252026MSTR peak $88k, 2024-11-20IBIT $17kMSTR $26kDashed line: the $10,000 you put in. Weekly closes to 2026-10-26, split-adjusted.Worst fall from a high: MSTR 82.6%, IBIT 53.3%.

Weekly closes from 11 January 2024 to 26 October 2026, plus each one's high and low day, split-adjusted. Neither paid a cash distribution.

By 20 November 2024, $10,000 in MSTR was worth $88,371. Then it fell for most of the next nineteen months, to $15,351 on 26 June 2026. That's a drop of 82.6%. IBIT peaked later, at $26,771 on 6 October 2025, and its worst fall was 53.3%.

It depends on the day you bought

Starting on IBIT's first day flatters MSTR. Very few people bought then. So we ran the same test for every close in the study: buy $10,000 of each that day, hold to 26 October 2026.

Bought on this date, worth this now
BOUGHT ON THIS DATE, WORTH THIS NOW$10,000 bought at each weekly close, valued at the close on 2026-10-26.Shaded: MSTR ahead$0$5.0k$10k$15k$20k$25k$30k202420252026IBITMSTRDashed line: break-even. Every daily buy from 2024-03-06 to 2025-12-30 is behind in MSTR.MSTR comes out ahead on 107 of 699 possible buy days.

What $10,000 bought at each weekly close was worth at the close on 26 October 2026. Shaded weeks are the ones where MSTR came out ahead.

MSTR came out ahead on 107 of 699 buy days, about 15%. Most of them sit in two windows: IBIT's first seven weeks, to 1 March 2024, and the summer of 2026, near MSTR's low. Every buy from 6 March 2024 to 30 December 2025 is behind IBIT today. Buys in the first half of 2025 are worth about half what the same money in IBIT is now.

Why MSTR swings harder

Strategy doesn't just hold bitcoin. It borrows money and sells preferred stock to buy more. On 27 October 2026 it owed $6.7bn in debt and had $13.3bn of preferred stock outstanding. Both get paid before ordinary shareholders do.

That's leverage, and it shows up in the daily moves. Over the whole test, MSTR moved about 1.5 times as far as IBIT on a typical day. On the 27 days IBIT fell more than 5%, MSTR fell 8.9% on average. On the 45 days IBIT rose more than 5%, MSTR rose 11.6%. Its yearly swing, 90.8%, was about 1.9 times IBIT's.

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The premium: what you pay for each $1 of bitcoin

An ETF's price stays close to the bitcoin it holds, because big traders can swap shares for bitcoin and back. IBIT closed 0.03% below its bitcoin on 23 October 2026. A company's shares have no such link. They trade at whatever the market will pay.

So we divided MSTR's price by the bitcoin behind each share. Above 1x, you're paying more than the bitcoin is worth. Below 1x, less.

MSTR's price per $1 of the bitcoin behind it
MSTR'S PRICE PER $1 OF ITS BITCOINShare price over the bitcoin behind one share, weekly closes.0.5x1.0x1.5x2.0x2.5x1x: price = its bitcoin202520262.34x in January 20250.63x0.93xBitcoin per share uses Strategy's diluted share count, from 2025-01-06 to 2026-10-26.Ignores Strategy's debt and preferred stock. Its own mNAV counts them.

MSTR's close over its bitcoin per diluted share times bitcoin's daily close, weekly, from 6 January 2025 (the first diluted share count in Strategy's ledger) to 26 October 2026.

In January 2025, buyers paid 2.34x: $2.34 for every $1 of bitcoin. By 26 June 2026 that was down to 0.63x, and it ended at 0.93x. That shrinking premium is why MSTR fell so much further than bitcoin. You lost on the bitcoin and on the premium at the same time.

Below 1x isn't a bargain by itself

This simple ratio ignores the $20.1bn of debt and preferred stock that rank ahead of the shares. Strategy's own measure, mNAV, counts them, and it read 1.13 on 26 October 2026. On its dashboard, the bitcoin behind one share was worth $149.33, or $123.15 after the debt and preferred stock. MSTR closed at $139.82.

More bitcoin per share, and more shares

Strategy's pitch is that it grows the bitcoin behind each share. When its shares trade above their bitcoin, it can sell new ones and buy more bitcoin than the new shares dilute. It held 189,150 bitcoin when IBIT launched. By 18 October 2026 it held 848,517.

Its share count grew too. From 6 January 2025 to 18 October 2026, its bitcoin rose 90% and its diluted shares rose 60%. So the bitcoin behind each share went from 0.00159 to 0.00188, up 18.2%. That's real growth. It still didn't make up for the premium shrinking from 2.34x to 0.93x.

The cost IBIT doesn't have

IBIT charges 0.25% a year. That's $25 on $10,000, and it's the whole cost.

MSTR has no fee, but its preferred stock pays dividends. On 27 October 2026 Strategy put them at $1.5bn a year. Against the $67.5bn of bitcoin it held, that's about 2.24% a year, roughly $224 on every $10,000 of its bitcoin. Interest on its debt comes on top.

Those payments have to come from somewhere. Between late May and early August 2026, Strategy sold 6,948 bitcoin. Its 8-K filings say the money went to pay distributions on its preferred stock and to refill the cash reserve it keeps for them. An ETF never has to sell its bitcoin to pay anyone but you.

Year by year

Return each year, %
MSTRIBIT
2024+440.2%+99.2%
2025-47.5%-6.4%
2026 so far-8.0%-8.9%

2024 runs from the 11 January 2024 close. 2026 runs to 26 October 2026. Split-adjusted closing prices.

2024 was MSTR's year by a mile. In 2025 it lost almost half its value, 47.5%, while IBIT lost 6.4%. So far in 2026 they've been close.

The risks

  • Bitcoin itself. IBIT lost 53.3% from its high in this test. Anything built on bitcoin can fall that far.
  • The premium. MSTR's price can fall even when bitcoin doesn't, if the market stops paying extra for it. That happened through 2025.
  • Debt and preferred stock. They get paid first. If bitcoin fell far enough for long enough, shareholders would come last.
  • Forced selling. Strategy has already sold bitcoin to meet its preferred dividends. It may do it again.
  • One company. MSTR depends on its managers' decisions. IBIT just holds bitcoin and charges a fee.

Outside the US

Here MSTR has a real advantage. It's an ordinary share listed on Nasdaq, so most international brokers sell it. IBIT is a US fund without the key information document UK and EU rules require, so most brokers there won't sell it to private investors. The local alternative is a bitcoin ETP listed in London, Frankfurt, Amsterdam or Zurich. Compare its fee the same way.

So which one?

  • You want bitcoin's price and nothing else: IBIT, at 0.25% a year. Our comparison of the bitcoin ETFs is linked below.
  • You want bigger moves than bitcoin, both ways, and accept the extra costs: MSTR. Size it as a leveraged bet, not as a bitcoin holding.
  • You're in the UK or EU and can't buy IBIT: a local bitcoin ETP is the plain version. MSTR is the leveraged one.
  • You want to hold the coins yourself: skip both and buy bitcoin on an exchange.

Is MSTR or IBIT better?

It depends on when you bought. $10,000 put in each on 11 January 2024 became $26,077 in MSTR and $16,981 in IBIT by 26 October 2026. But any buy from 6 March 2024 to 30 December 2025 left MSTR behind. IBIT tracks bitcoin; MSTR is a leveraged bet on it.

Is MSTR the same as owning bitcoin?

No. You own part of a company that holds 848,517 bitcoin, along with $6.7bn of debt and $13.3bn of preferred stock. The share price also depends on how much the market will pay for that bitcoin, which has ranged from 2.38x to 0.63x since January 2025.

Why is MSTR more volatile than IBIT?

Strategy uses borrowed money and preferred stock to buy bitcoin, so its shares move further than bitcoin does. In our test MSTR moved about 1.5 times as much as IBIT on a typical day, and fell 82.6% from its high against 53.3% for IBIT.

What is MSTR's mNAV?

It's Strategy's market value, including its debt and preferred stock, divided by the value of its bitcoin. On 26 October 2026 Strategy put it at 1.13. Above 1, you're paying more than the bitcoin is worth.

Does Strategy sell its bitcoin?

It has. Between late May and early August 2026 it sold 6,948 bitcoin to pay distributions on its preferred stock, according to its 8-K filings. It still held 848,517 on 18 October 2026.

Does MSTR pay a dividend?

Not on its ordinary shares. Its preferred stock pays about $1.5bn a year, which comes out of the company before ordinary shareholders see anything.

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Written by

Pavel Penev, MSc

MSc Investment & Finance, Queen Mary University of London · 10+ years trading the markets

Pavel founded TradeWize after years of trading and an MSc in Investment & Finance from Queen Mary University of London. He writes these guides to teach the decisions, not just the theory.

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