Trading term

What is Put/call ratio?

The put/call ratio is the number of put options divided by the number of call options, measured either on the day's trading volume or on open interest. A ratio above 1 means more puts than calls. It's read as a sentiment gauge — more puts, more fear — though on bitcoin the volume ratio has never averaged above 1 for a year.

There are two versions and they answer different questions. The volume ratio is puts traded over calls traded on a given day: what's active. The open-interest ratio is puts outstanding over calls outstanding: where the positions are. The open-interest version, read by expiry on the chain, is the more useful one, because it shows which strikes and dates the market is actually holding.

On bitcoin, calls dominate. Since 2021 the median day's volume ratio on Deribit's monthly and quarterly expiries has been about 0.66, with puts around 40% of contracts traded; the open-interest ratio on the live chain sits in the 0.5–0.6 range. The put share rises in bear markets and falls in bull markets, which makes the ratio a description of the regime the market is in rather than a forecast of the next one.

For example

On a given morning Deribit carries 282,000 BTC of open interest in bitcoin calls and 156,000 in puts: a put/call ratio of 0.55. On the weekly expiry due tomorrow the ratio is 0.79; on the big quarterly it is 0.53. Short-dated protection is being bought while longer-dated upside is being held.

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Why it matters to you

By expiry and by strike, the open-interest ratio shows where the walls of positioning are — the strikes with the most puts below the price and the most calls above it — which is where dealers' hedging is thickest and price tends to slow. As a single headline number it says much less: on bitcoin its level has tracked the trend and said nothing about the following month.

Reading a rising ratio as a sell signal

A higher put/call ratio means more puts are trading or held relative to calls. That can be protection being bought, calls being sold against positions, or simply a quieter call market. On bitcoin the ratio was highest in 2022, during the bear, and lowest in 2023, at the start of the bull — it followed the move rather than leading it.

Frequently asked questions

What is the put/call ratio?

Puts divided by calls, on either volume or open interest. Above 1 means more puts than calls; below 1, more calls.

What is a normal put/call ratio for bitcoin?

Below 1. The median daily volume ratio on Deribit's monthly and quarterly expiries since 2021 is about 0.66, and the open-interest ratio on the live chain usually sits between 0.5 and 0.6. Ether's is lower still.

What is max pain?

The strike at which option holders on a given expiry would collect the least in total if price settled there. It's read off the same open-interest data and describes where the positions sit; it is not a price target.

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